As with all fashionable presidencies, President Trump can get pleasure from higher comforts in his second time period than in his first time period, just by not needing to posture for re-election.
This marks the primary time in President Trump’s political profession that he can ease off always viewing information estimating his favorability in opposition to different candidates, and his approval score.
Nonetheless, President Trump’s approval score bears significance, because it pertains to his legacy – which will likely be outlined, partly, by the 2026 and 2028 election outcomes.
Within the 2024 election, President Trump captured 49.8% of the favored vote, turning into solely the second Republican since 1988 to win the favored vote.
49.8% of the favored vote in 2024 represented important development for President Trump – in contrast with President Trump’s alleged 46.8% of the favored vote in 2020, and President Trump’s 46.1% of the favored vote in 2016.
In keeping with Actual Clear Politics polling data, President Trump’s approval score climbed to 50.5% on January 27, 2025.
At its core, Actual Clear Politics will be distinguished as the only, nonpartisan web site to publish a near-daily political polling information mixture. “RCP” combines dozens of well-known pollsters, averaging their information into one central determine.
On election day in 2024, RCP projected President Trump would win the presidency, carrying 287 electoral votes.
RCP fell brief and didn’t precisely predict the electoral outcomes solely in Michigan and Wisconsin, the place its polling mixture predicted President Trump would lose by lower than 1% of the vote.
In the course of the 2004 election, 4 years after RCP launched its web site, “each the George W. Bush and John Kerry’s presidential campaigns acknowledged to reporters it was the very best metric of the place the race truly stood,” per The Washington Examiner.
At present, greater than 4 months into his second presidential time period, President Trump’s approval score is holding regular, round 50%.
President Trump’s approval score has not fallen under 45.2% throughout his second presidential time period, per RCP.
At present, President Trump’s approval score stands at 47.5% – climbing, nearly each day, over the past three weeks, per RCP.
In contrast, at this juncture in President Trump’s first time period, his approval score stood at solely 39.9%.
Per RCP, President Trump’s first time period approval score hit a low of 37.0% on December 13, 2017, and hit a excessive of 47.3% on March 27, 2020.
Quite the opposite, Joe Biden exited his presidency with an approval score of solely 39.0% on January 20, 2025 – approaching Biden’s all-time low approval score of 37.1% on July 18, 2022, per RCP.
Most notably, President Trump’s approval score has trended about 5 p.c larger, on common, in his second time period, in contrast along with his first time period – indicating actual development and momentum for MAGA.
Furthermore, almost one decade since President Trump introduced his first presidential candidacy, no statistical indicators point out that President Trump’s base of over 77 million supporters would think about abandoning him.
