Two marquee video games on the docket, each with robust developments and big viewer enchantment.
The AFC showdown between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (9-0) and Payments (8-2) in Buffalo has all kinds of storylines, however we’re slapping this experience in reverse after KC’s forced kicker change. For a workforce with seven of 9 wins by a one-score margin, we can’t put our belief—or coin—behind the undesirable, momentary inheritor to Harrison Butker.
And so we flip our consideration to the opposite AFC slugfest, Ravens vs. Steelers, the place the numbers tug in reverse instructions. Baltimore’s unstoppable top-ranked offense. Pittsburgh’s tenacious D. Mike Tomlin’s borderline mastery of Lamar Jackson (1-3 as a starter).
No, we are able to’t go there both. However will likely be watching.
As an alternative, we’re taking our spend elsewhere, monitoring down as many groups that can’t get out of their very own method as we are able to.
Indianapolis Colts at NY Jets
No person ought to rule out the +176 (FanDuel) moneyline in the event that they consider strongly within the see-you-next-year mindset of the Jets getting into Sunday’s recreation. Sure, mathematically, NY remains to be hanging by a thread, however the six-point output at Arizona is all of the arithmetic we’d like.
Let’s speak in regards to the Colts since they’ve decided to turn back to quarterback Anthony Richardson. He is finishing barely 44 p.c of his passes and tends to tire within the second half of street video games (apparently).
However the Colts are higher for bettors than they’re Shane Steichen’s resume at 7-3 ATS this season and have been in each recreation within the fourth quarter. Latest developments point out the Jets may not be robust sufficient to pressure the Colts to throw. Final week, the Cardinals rushed for 147 yards, one week after the Texans put up 187 on the bottom; the Patriots (112), Steelers (149) and Payments (149), too, all since mid-October.
Aaron Rodgers has carried out a high-quality job preserving groups shut along with his personal accuracy points, and the Colts arrive with extra legit postseason motivation regardless of three consecutive losses.
Even in case you are involved the Jets actually, actually flip it on and set a season-high with 25 (!) factors, we experience with the horseshoes. Opponents have six first-quarter touchdowns towards the Jets.
The guess: Colts +3.5, Jonathan Taylor first TD scorer, +480 (FanDuel)
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions
Working away from the Lions as two-TD favorites is silly. Mac Jones barely moved the chains final week, and Jacksonville’s solely landing was scored by the Trevor Lawrence alternative on the bottom. Lawrence remains to be out, and Jacksonville is out of its league, with big changes looming.
In the event you want imagery for this blowout, who among the many NFL teaching ranks is extra more likely to toss roadkill on the grill than Dan Campbell?
That is what we thought.
Even if you wish to decide on the previous two showings for the Lions—each wins, thoughts you—this is not a workforce that performs right down to competitors. And if anybody can get a locker room to consider Jared Goff is the second coming after a five-interception outing at Houston, it is Detroit’s Campbell.
Houston was unable to run the ball towards Detroit. However C.J. Stroud discovered solutions we’re virtually sure Mac Jones will not discover towards the Lions.
The Lions beat the Seahawks by 13, dropped 52 on the Titans (in a 38-point win) and smacked the Cowboys 47-9 on the street.
The guess: Lions -13.5, Jahmyr Gibbs 25+ receiving yards, +164 (FanDuel)
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Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots
On the street. On the grass. Brief week.
In the event you take the recency multipliers and mix them with the big egg laid by the Rams’ offense final week, there is a skyscraper-sized stack of causes to run away from the street favorites at Foxborough.
However New England is getting kudos by the bushel for beating a Bears’ workforce that began two backups at offensive sort out and made merely a modest try to run the ball. We’re not saying the Rams are Tremendous Bowl-bound, however the Patriots are nonetheless beginning a rookie quarterback with minimal playmakers when stacked up towards the receivers and working again Matthew Stafford can deploy.
Kyren Williams stands because the centerpiece of this recreation plan till the Patriots show they will cease him. He has 10 touchdowns from scrimmage; New England has 16 complete.
Thrice this season and twice up to now three weeks, Stafford has doubled up on TD tosses. New England allowed a number of TD passes 3 times within the final 5 video games.
The guess: Rams -4.5, Matthew Stafford 2+ passing TDs, +110
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