If the no-confidence vote does certainly undergo, Barnier must tender his resignation however Macron might ask him and his authorities to remain on in a caretaker position to deal with day-to-day enterprise whereas he seeks a brand new prime minister, which may nicely occur solely subsequent 12 months.
One possibility could be for Macron to call a authorities of technocrats with no political programme, hoping that might assist survive a no-confidence vote. In any case, there may be no new snap parliamentary elections earlier than July.
So far as the finances is anxious, if parliament has not adopted it by Dec. 20, the caretaker authorities may invoke constitutional powers to cross it by ordinance.
Nevertheless, that may be dangerous as there’s a authorized gray space about whether or not a caretaker authorities can use such powers. And that may make sure to set off uproar from the opposition.
A extra possible transfer could be for the caretaker authorities to suggest particular emergency laws to roll over spending limits and tax provisions from this 12 months. However that may imply that financial savings measures Barnier had deliberate would fall by the wayside.
