The historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman has blamed “misogyny, racism and xenophobia” for getting his prediction about who would win the White Home so catastrophically unsuitable.
Lichtman, who’s greatest identified for devising electoral prediction system referred to as ‘The 5 Keys to the White Home,’ mentioned in an interview with CNN that the American individuals have been merely not “pragmatic” sufficient to have the ability to predict the election accurately.
He defined:
The Keys to the White Home depend on a rational, pragmatic voters deciding it based mostly on steering quite than relying upon if the get together ought to get 4 extra years.
And we’ve seen the explosion of some tendencies which have existed earlier than, however to not this extent. Disinformation. You realize, Elon Musk, I don’t know what number of tons of of billions he has, has been the director of misinformation. Two billion views of his spreading of disinformation.
Not simply in regards to the economic system, however about immigrants, about minorities. We have been by no means seeing this disinformation at this scale.
Subsequent, we’ve by no means seen to this scale the agitation of three tendencies which were very deeply embedded in American historical past. Misogyny, racism, and xenophobia. The primary anti-immigrant regulation was 1798, and Donald Trump wished to revive it.
Hilariously unsuitable @AllanLichtman
Says it’s Elons fault his prediction was unsuitable.He’s too entrenched in his cult to appreciate he lives in a paranoid delusional state
pic.twitter.com/4nTRtZrGMr— Tim Pool (@Timcast) November 10, 2024
Amongst Lichtman’s “keys” for the White Home include the energy of the economic system, the comparative variety of seats held within the Home of Representatives, overseas coverage successes and failures, the charisma of the candidates, political scandals and the prevalence of social unrest.
In a video for The New York Occasions again in September, Lichtman predicted that Harris would in the end prevail within the race to the White Home, a prediction that was seemingly pushed by his personal irrational optimism than any real consideration of how People have been feeling.
“The Democrats will maintain on to the White Home, and Kamala Harris would be the subsequent president of america,” Lichtman mentioned in a video for The New York Occasions again in September. “A minimum of, that’s my prediction for this race.”
“The keys completely will work. They’re the fixed northern star of political prediction,” he continued. “The result is as much as you. So get out and vote.”
Whereas Lichtman is thought for getting most his predictions proper, he doesn’t have a flawless document. He incorrectly predicted that Al Gore would win the 2000 presidential election, which was ultimately received by George W. Bush.
